Appendix 6. Predictors of trust in neighbors in 2018 and 2020 (weighted, full regression output of Fig. 3)

Variables Beta 95% CI
2020 survey round (ref: 2018) –0.169** [–0.30, –0.04]
Country income category (ref: low-income)
 Lower-middle income –0.090 [–0.19, 0.01]
 Upper-middle income –0.150* [–0.27, –0.03]
 High income –0.091 [–0.26, 0.07]
Interactions
 2020 × Lower-middle 0.065 [–0.07, 0.20]
 2020 × Upper-middle 0.131 [–0.00, 0.26]
 2020 × High income 0.180** [0.05, 0.31]
Trust in government 0.175*** [0.14, 0.21]
Education (ref: under secondary)
Secondary 0.029 [–0.01, 0.07]
Tertiary or higher 0.067*** [0.04, 0.10]
Female –0.031*** [–0.04, –0.02]
Age (ref: under 25)
 25–34 0.008 [–0.00, 0.02]
 35–44 0.040*** [0.02, 0.06]
 45–54 0.063*** [0.05, 0.08]
 55–64 0.057*** [0.04, 0.08]
 65+ 0.094*** [0.07, 0.12]
Income (ref: poorest 20%)
 Second 20% 0.020 [–0.01, 0.04]
 Middle 20% 0.030** [0.01, 0.05]
 Fourth 20% 0.031** [0.01, 0.05]
 Richest 20% 0.030** [0.01, 0.05]
Country-level factors
 Mobility 0.000 [–0.00, 0.00]
 No. of COVID-19 confirmed deaths –0.000 [–0.00, 0.00]
 Logged population –0.019 [–0.06, 0.03]
 Logged GDP 0.027 [–0.01, 0.07]
Constant 0.882** [0.24, 1.52]
Observations 192,719
95% confidence intervals in brackets.
p<0.05,
p<0.01,
p<0.001.
CIs, confidence intervals; GDP, gross domestic product.